Accelerating Dual Momentum

Details

The Accelerating Dual Momentum strategy was developed by the site EngineeredPortfolio.com.

The portfolio uses a Dual Momentum approach to compare absolute and relative momentum.

The backtest time period is shorter than traditional dual momentum strategies.  This makes the portfolio more responsive but also trades more often.

Average Asset Allocation & Recommended ETFs

Weight
Ticker
ETF Name
Sector
43%
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Equity, U.S., Large Cap
38%
SCZ
iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap ETF
Equity, International, Small Cap
13%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
Bond, U.S., Long-Term
6%
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
Bond, U.S., TIPS

Performance Metrics

Annual Return
14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.86
10 Year Annual Return
9.1%
Volatility (annualized)
14.0%
Max Drawdown
-25.8%
Positive Periods
65.8%
Dot Com Annual Return
0.0%
Great Financial Crisis Return
17.1%
Trade Frequency
Monthly

Strategy Rules

This strategy allocates 100% of of the portfolio to one asset each month.

  1. On the last trading day of each month, calculate the “momentum score” for the S&P 500 (SPY) and the international small cap equities (SCZ).  The momentum score is the average of the 1, 3, and 6-month total return for each asset.

  2. If the momentum score of SCZ > SPY and is greater than 0, invest in SCZ.

  3. If the momentum score of SPY > SCZ and is greater than 0, invest in SPY.

  4. If neither momentum score is greater than 0, calculate the 1-month total return for long-term US Treasuries (TLT) and US TIPS (TIP).  Invest in whichever has the higher return.

How to Invest in the Accelerating Dual Momentum Portfolio

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Accelerating Dual Momentum Rolling Returns

Low
Average
High
1-Year
-24.2%
15.9%
84.0%
3-Year
-0.5%
15.9%
42.7%
5-Year
2.7%
15.9%
30.8%
10-Year
8.8%
16.1%
23.3%

Charts

Portfolio vs. 60/40 vs. S&P 500

All Data
Portfolio
60/40
S&P 500
Annual Return
14.4%
9.3%
10.3%
10Y Annual Return
9.1%
7.9%
12.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.86
0.51
0.43
Max Drawdown
-25.8%
-29.7%
-50.97%
Volatility (annualized)
14.0%
9.9%
15.4%
Dot Com Annual Return
0.0%
-4.2%
-14.60%
Great Financial Crisis Annual Return
17.1%
-0.3%
-5.66%
Positive Periods
65.8%
65.8%
63.3%

**S&P 500 backtest to 1972 and 60/40 backtest to 1970

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