verifiedCurated Strategy
· 29 yr backtestBuy and Hold

Coffeehouse Portfolio

Real CAGR7.3%
Max Drawdown-34.1%
Sharpe Ratio0.31

The Coffeehouse Portfolio was created by Bill Schultheis, a former stockbroker turned financial advisor who introduced it in his 2002 book The Coffeehouse Investor: How to Build Wealth, Ignore Wall Street, and Get on with Your Life. Schultheis designed the portfolio as a direct rebuke of the stock-picking and market-timing promoted by the financial industry, arguing that simplicity and discipline beat sophistication over time. The portfolio allocates half its assets to a total bond market index and splits the remaining half equally across seven equity index funds spanning domestic and international markets.

Investment Philosophy

Schultheis built his approach on three principles: save consistently, diversify broadly, and stop trying to beat the market. The equal-weighted equity sleeve covers large-cap blend, large-cap value, small-cap blend, small-cap value, international developed, real estate, and a broad US market index. This structure creates a natural tilt toward value and small-cap stocks -- factors supported by decades of academic research -- without requiring active management. The fixed 50% bond allocation is designed to reduce volatility and encourage disciplined rebalancing when markets move.

Who It's For

This portfolio suits investors who want a simple, set-and-forget approach with genuine diversification across equity styles and asset classes. The heavy bond allocation makes it appropriate for conservative to moderate investors, and the overall simplicity makes it well-suited for those new to index investing or uncomfortable with the swings of an all-equity portfolio.

Pros

  • Simple structure with just eight funds covers a wide range of equity factors and fixed income
  • Equal weighting across seven equity categories creates a structural tilt toward value and small-cap
  • 50% bond allocation provides meaningful downside protection in equity bear markets
  • Low-cost index approach minimizes fees over the long run

Cons

  • 50% bond allocation significantly limits growth potential for investors with long time horizons
  • Equal weighting across seven equity categories creates a structural underweight to large-cap growth stocks
  • Rebalancing across eight funds can generate more tax events in taxable accounts than simpler portfolios
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Target Allocation

Static
US Aggregate Bond Index(AGG)40%
US Large-Cap Value(IVE)10%
US Large-Cap Blend(SPY)10%
US Small-Cap Value(IWN)10%
US Small-Cap Blend(IWM)10%
International Developed Equity(EFA)10%
US Real Estate(VNQ)10%

Performance Snapshot

trending_upReal CAGR
7.33%
balanceSharpe Ratio
0.310
trending_downMax Drawdown
-34.11%
show_chartSortino Ratio
0.040
arrow_upwardBest Year
+24.6%
arrow_downwardWorst Year
-18.5%
update10-Year CAGR
6.94%
warningUlcer Index
6.30
analyticsUlcer Perf. Index
0.450
account_balanceGFC CAGR
-1.2%
computerDot-com CAGR
+2.8%
syncTrade Frequency
Static
shieldRisk Level
3/5 — Moderate
calendar_monthMin. Timeline
7 years
historyBacktest Period
29 years

Rolling Returns

PeriodLowAverageHigh
1 Year-28.7%+7.6%+38.8%
3 Year-8.2%+6.9%+19.3%
5 Year-1.4%+6.9%+16.2%
10 Year+3.7%+6.9%+10.7%
Compare to:

Growth of $10,000

Coffeehouse Portfolio
Sharpe Ratio0.31
Best Year+24.6%
Worst Year-18.5%
Final Value$79,614

Historical Drawdown

Percentage decline from the portfolio's peak value at each point in time.

Rolling Returns

Annualised return for each rolling period ending on that date.

Annualised return for each 1Y period ending on that date.

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