Ivy Portfolio - Timing

Details

The Ivy Portfolio – Timing is a tactical version of the standard Ivy Portfolio.  Both were created by Meb Faber and profiled in his book The Ivy Portfolio.

Meb Faber is a co-founder and the Chief Investment Officer of Cambria Investment Management.

The Ivy Portfolio is designed to mimic the investment strategies of highly successful Harvard and Yale endowments.

The timing version uses a simple moving average to determine when to enter and exit a position.

Initial Asset Allocation & Recommended ETFs

Weight
Ticker
ETF Name
Sector
20%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
Equity, U.S., Large Cap
20%
VEU
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US
Equity, Global ex-US, Large Cap
20%
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund ETF
Real Estate, U.S.
20%
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Bond, U.S., All-Term
20%
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Commodity, Diversified

Performance Metrics

All Data
Annual Return
7.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.74
10 Year Annual Return
4.8%
Volatility (annualized)
6.5%
Max Drawdown
-13.1%
Positive Periods
69.8%
Dot Com Annual Return
4.8%
Great Financial Crisis Return
5.5%
Trade Frequency
Monthly
Ulcer Performance Index
1.3

Strategy Rules

This strategy trades once per month.

  1. Split the portfolio into 5 equal slices.
  2. On the last trading day of the month, calculate the 10-month moving average for each of the assets above.
  3. If the price on the last trading day of the month > 10-month moving average, allocate to that investment.
    • If the price < 10-month moving average, allocate that portion of the portfolio to cash.
  4. Hold until the last trading day of the next month.

How to Invest in the Ivy Portfolio - Timing

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Ivy Portfolio - Timing Rolling Returns

Low
Average
High
1-Year
-12.7%
7.3%
31.0%
3-Year
-0.4%
7.2%
18.1%
5-Year
0.2%
7.0%
15.0%
10-Year
2.5%
7.0%
10.7%

Charts

Portfolio vs. 60/40 vs. S&P 500

All Data
Portfolio
60/40
S&P 500
Annual Return
7.1%
9.3%
10.3%
10Y Annual Return
4.8%
7.9%
12.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.74
0.51
0.43
Max Drawdown
-13.1%
-29.7%
-50.97%
Volatility (annualized)
6.5%
9.9%
15.4%
Dot Com Annual Return
4.8%
-4.2%
-14.60%
Great Financial Crisis Annual Return
5.5%
-0.3%
-5.66%
Positive Periods
69.8%
65.8%
63.3%

**S&P 500 backtest to 1972 and 60/40 backtest to 1970

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