verifiedCurated Strategy
· 29 yr backtestBuy and Hold

Late Sixties and Beyond by Burton Malkiel

Real CAGR7.2%
Max Drawdown-37.9%
Sharpe Ratio0.30

The Late Sixties and Beyond Portfolio is one of the age-based model allocations presented by Burton Malkiel in his classic book A Random Walk Down Wall Street, first published in 1973 and updated through multiple editions. Malkiel, a Princeton economics professor and former member of the Council of Economic Advisers, developed a series of life-cycle allocations designed for investors at different stages of life. The late-sixties-and-beyond version is the most conservative, designed for investors who have reached or passed typical retirement age and prioritise capital preservation and income over growth.

Investment Philosophy

Malkiel's age-based allocation philosophy holds that as investors age, they should progressively shift from equities toward bonds and cash, reducing the portfolio's exposure to short-term market volatility as the time horizon shortens and the ability to recover from large drawdowns diminishes. The late-sixties portfolio reflects this by holding a heavy majority in fixed income and cash-equivalent assets, with only a modest equity allocation to provide some inflation protection.

Who It's For

This portfolio is designed for retirees in their late sixties or beyond who are drawing down their portfolio for living expenses and cannot afford to sustain large losses from equity market downturns. It suits investors with a low risk tolerance and a primary objective of capital preservation and income generation.

Pros

  • High fixed-income and cash weighting provides strong protection against equity market declines
  • Simple structure that is easy to understand and manage in retirement
  • Small equity allocation retains some inflation-fighting capacity

Cons

  • Limited equity exposure may be insufficient to protect purchasing power during extended inflationary periods
  • Low expected long-run return means the portfolio may not sustain decades of retirement spending without significant depletion
  • Bond holdings are exposed to interest rate risk, creating potential capital losses in rising-rate environments
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Target Allocation

Static
US Total Stock Market(VTI)20%
US Real Estate(VNQ)15%
Emerging Markets Equity(EEM)10%
Cash(BIL)10%
International Developed Equity(EFA)10%
Investment Grade Corporate Bond(LQD)8.75%
Global Bond Index(BNDX)8.75%
US Dividend Growth(VIG)8.75%
Inflation-Protected Bond(TIP)8.75%

Performance Snapshot

trending_upReal CAGR
7.21%
balanceSharpe Ratio
0.300
trending_downMax Drawdown
-37.91%
show_chartSortino Ratio
0.040
arrow_upwardBest Year
+26.3%
arrow_downwardWorst Year
-24.5%
update10-Year CAGR
7.58%
warningUlcer Index
6.96
analyticsUlcer Perf. Index
0.390
account_balanceGFC CAGR
+0.1%
computerDot-com CAGR
-1.1%
syncTrade Frequency
Static
shieldRisk Level
4/5 — Aggressive
calendar_monthMin. Timeline
7 years
historyBacktest Period
29 years

Rolling Returns

PeriodLowAverageHigh
1 Year-31.9%+7.5%+45.3%
3 Year-8.2%+6.8%+20.4%
5 Year-1.1%+6.8%+16.0%
10 Year+3.0%+6.9%+10.8%
Compare to:

Growth of $10,000

Late Sixties and Beyond by Burton Malkiel
Sharpe Ratio0.30
Best Year+26.3%
Worst Year-24.5%
Final Value$77,156

Historical Drawdown

Percentage decline from the portfolio's peak value at each point in time.

Rolling Returns

Annualised return for each rolling period ending on that date.

Annualised return for each 1Y period ending on that date.

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