verifiedCurated Strategy
· 50 yr backtestTactical

Robust Asset Allocation - Balanced

Real CAGR9.6%
Max Drawdown-12.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.74

The Robust Asset Allocation Balanced portfolio is the moderate-risk version of the RAA framework developed by Alpha Architect, a quantitative asset management firm co-founded by Wesley Gray. Alpha Architect designed the Robust Asset Allocation series to combine broad passive diversification with a systematic trend-following mechanism, allowing the portfolio to reduce equity exposure during sustained market downturns. The balanced variant sits in the middle of the RAA risk spectrum, maintaining a roughly even split between equity and defensive allocations under normal market conditions.

Investment Philosophy

The RAA Balanced portfolio reflects Alpha Architect's view that a genuinely robust portfolio must be able to survive both good and bad market environments without relying on precise forecasting. The balanced configuration pairs a diversified equity sleeve — spanning domestic and international stocks — with a defensive sleeve (typically short-term bonds or cash) that the trend signal can expand when equity markets deteriorate. The core insight is that avoiding large drawdowns is as important as capturing upside in determining long-run wealth outcomes.

Who It's For

This portfolio is suited to investors with a moderate risk tolerance who want the participation of an equity-heavy portfolio during bull markets but also a systematic mechanism for reducing equity exposure in prolonged downturns. It is appropriate for self-directed investors comfortable with a quantitative, rules-based approach requiring monthly monitoring.

Pros

  • Balanced equity-defensive split moderates volatility compared to the aggressive RAA variant
  • Trend-following signal provides a systematic crash-avoidance mechanism
  • Evidence-based design from an established quantitative research firm

Cons

  • Trend-following can generate whipsaw losses in oscillating markets where signals frequently reverse
  • Requires monthly evaluation and potential rebalancing, adding more complexity than a static portfolio
  • The trend signal may delay the shift to equities after a market bottom, resulting in missed early recovery gains

Technical Notes

Alpha Architect publishes ongoing research on the RAA framework at alphaarchitect.com. The equity and defensive allocations within the portfolio are adjusted based on momentum signals evaluated at month-end.

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Average Allocation

Based on historical average weights across all rebalance periods.

Monthly
Cash(BIL)31.5%
US Real Estate(VNQ)15%
Intermediate-Term Treasury Bond(IEF)13.7%
Broad Commodities(DBC)11.1%
US Large-Cap Momentum(MTUM)7.7%
US Large-Cap Blend Value(IWD)7.6%
International Developed Value(EFV)6.7%
International Developed Equity(EFA)6.6%

Performance Snapshot

trending_upReal CAGR
9.58%
balanceSharpe Ratio
0.740
trending_downMax Drawdown
-12.02%
show_chartSortino Ratio
0.110
arrow_upwardBest Year
+26.4%
arrow_downwardWorst Year
-4.4%
update10-Year CAGR
5.27%
warningUlcer Index
2.60
analyticsUlcer Perf. Index
1.960
account_balanceGFC CAGR
+5.2%
computerDot-com CAGR
+4.3%
syncTrade Frequency
Monthly
shieldRisk Level
1/5 — Conservative
calendar_monthMin. Timeline
3 years
historyBacktest Period
50 years

Rolling Returns

PeriodLowAverageHigh
1 Year-6.6%+9.7%+37.1%
3 Year-0.8%+9.5%+25.4%
5 Year+0.6%+9.5%+21.2%
10 Year+2.8%+9.5%+17.5%
Compare to:

Growth of $10,000

Robust Asset Allocation - Balanced
Sharpe Ratio0.74
Best Year+26.4%
Worst Year-4.4%
Final Value$1,001,318

Historical Drawdown

Percentage decline from the portfolio's peak value at each point in time.

Rolling Returns

Annualised return for each rolling period ending on that date.

Annualised return for each 1Y period ending on that date.

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