Robust Asset Allocation - Balanced

Details

The Robust Asset Allocation – Balanced strategy was developed by Wes Gray of Alpha Architects and profiled in his book DIY Finacial Advisor.   

Gray uses both Dual Momentum and Meb Faber’s GTAA to determine when to move in and out of assets and how much is allocated to each.

It is the same as the Aggressive version but with a different asset allocation.

The portfolio, on average, allocates 30% to equities, 14% to bonds, and 56% to cash, REITs, and commodities.

Average Asset Allocation & Recommended ETFs

Weight
Ticker
ETF Name
Sector
30%
BIL
SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Bond, U.S., Ultra Short-Term
15%
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund ETF
Real Estate, U.S.
14%
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Bond, U.S., Intermediate-Term
11%
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Commodity, Diversified
8%
MTUM
iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
Equity, U.S., Large Cap, Momentum
8%
IWD
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
Equity, U.S., Large Cap, Value
7%
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Equity, Inter. Developed, Large Cap
7%
EFV
iShares MSCI EAFE Value ETF
Equity, Inter. Developed, Value

Performance Metrics

All Data
Annual Return
9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.78
10 Year Annual Return
3.7%
Volatility (annualized)
6.7%
Max Drawdown
-12.0%
Positive Periods
72.7%
Dot Com Annual Return
4.4%
Great Financial Crisis Return
5.2%
Trade Frequency
Monthly
Ulcer Performance Index
2.0

Strategy Rules

This strategy trades once per month.

The portfolio is divided as follows:

Ticker
Asset Class
Weight
MTUM
US Momentum
10%
IWD
US Large Cap Value
10%
EFA
International Equities
10%
EFV
International Value
10%
VNQ
REITs
20%
DBC
Commodities
20%
IEF
Intermediate-Term US Treasuries
20%
  1. On the last trading day of the month, determine:
    • Is the 12-month return of the asset > than the 12-month return of BIL
    • Is the closing price > than the 12-month moving average
  2. If the answer is ‘yes’ for both, invest 100% in the asset
    • If the answer is ‘yes’ for only one, invest 50% in the asset and 50% in cash.
    • If the answer is ‘no’ for both, invest that portion of the portfolio in cash.
  3. Hold all positions until the last trading day of the following month.

How to Invest in the Robust Asset Allocation - Balanced Portfolio

M1 Finance is the recommended platform to invest in this portfolio.  Find out why.

Robust Asset Allocation - Balanced Rolling Returns

Low
Average
High
1-Year
-6.6%
10.0%
37.1%
3-Year
-0.8%
9.9%
25.4%
5-Year
0.6%
9.8%
21.2%
10-Year
2.8%
10.0%
17.5%

Charts

Portfolio vs. 60/40 vs. S&P 500

All Data
Portfolio
60/40
S&P 500
Annual Return
9.7%
9.3%
10.3%
10Y Annual Return
3.7%
7.9%
12.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.78
0.51
0.43
Max Drawdown
-12.0%
-29.7%
-50.97%
Volatility (annualized)
6.7%
9.9%
15.4%
Dot Com Annual Return
4.4%
-4.2%
-14.60%
Great Financial Crisis Annual Return
5.2%
-0.3%
-5.66%
Positive Periods
72.7%
65.8%
63.3%

**S&P 500 backtest to 1972 and 60/40 backtest to 1970

Similar Portfolios

Rob Arnott Portfolio Asset Allocation
CAGR: 6.1%
Max DD: -23.2%
Sharpe: 0.58
Trade Freq: Static
Core Four Portfolio by Rick Ferri Asset Allocation
CAGR: 8.3%
Max DD: -44.4%
Sharpe: 0.54
Trade Freq: Static
Pinwheel Portfolio Asset Allocation
CAGR: 7.9%
Max DD: -36.6%
Sharpe: 0.57
Trade Freq: Static