All-Weather PortfoliosRanked by Performance
An all-weather portfolio is designed to hold up reasonably well across every economic environment — inflation, deflation, growth, and recession. The concept was popularized by Ray Dalio at Bridgewater Associates, and the core insight is that most portfolios are unknowingly concentrated in a single regime (usually growth). By balancing exposure across all four environments, an all-weather approach aims to reduce volatility without sacrificing long-term returns.
In practice, all-weather portfolios hold a mix of stocks, long-term bonds, intermediate bonds, gold, and commodities. They tend to hold up better during equity crashes and periods of high inflation than traditional 60/40 portfolios, though they may lag during prolonged equity bull markets. Investors drawn to this approach typically prioritize consistency and downside protection over maximizing peak returns.
| Portfolio | CAGR | Max Drawdown | Sharpe | Worst Year | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mama Bear Portfolio | 12.8% | -20.1% | 0.69 | -15.4% | 2/5 |
| Papa Bear Portfolio | 12.8% | -20.8% | 0.64 | -11.7% | 2/5 |
| Tactical Permanent Portfolio | 8.4% | -11.1% | 0.58 | -6.4% | 1/5 |
| Permanent Portfolio | 8.7% | -15.5% | 0.56 | -11.9% | 2/5 |
| Ray Dalio's All-Weather Portfolio | 9.0% | -21.2% | 0.55 | -18.8% | 2/5 |
| Golden Butterfly Portfolio | 8.1% | -18.0% | 0.47 | -14.0% | 2/5 |
| Desert Portfolio | 7.4% | -17.8% | 0.46 | -15.1% | 2/5 |
| Pinwheel Portfolio | 8.5% | -36.6% | 0.41 | -21.7% | 4/5 |
| Global Asset Allocation (GAA) Portfolio by Meb Faber | 7.5% | -23.5% | 0.39 | -16.2% | 3/5 |
| Sandwich Portfolio | 7.5% | -28.6% | 0.36 | -17.0% | 3/5 |
| Ivy Portfolio by Meb Faber | 7.5% | -44.4% | 0.31 | -28.3% | 4/5 |
Sorted by Sharpe ratio (highest to lowest). All stats backtested from inception. See methodology →